Five Point Holdings Stock Performance

FPH Stock  USD 5.26  0.16  3.14%   
The firm shows a Beta (market volatility) of 0.74, which means possible diversification benefits within a given portfolio. As returns on the market increase, Five Point's returns are expected to increase less than the market. However, during the bear market, the loss of holding Five Point is expected to be smaller as well. At this point, Five Point Holdings has a negative expected return of -0.2%. Please make sure to confirm Five Point's kurtosis, as well as the relationship between the day median price and period momentum indicator , to decide if Five Point Holdings performance from the past will be repeated at some point in the near future.

Risk-Adjusted Performance

Weakest

 
Weak
 
Strong
Over the last 90 days Five Point Holdings has generated negative risk-adjusted returns adding no value to investors with long positions. Despite weak performance in the last few months, the Stock's basic indicators remain fairly strong which may send shares a bit higher in March 2026. The recent confusion may also be a sign of long-lasting up-swing for the firm traders. ...more

Actual Historical Performance (%)

One Day Return
3.14
Five Day Return
(1.31)
Year To Date Return
(3.31)
Ten Year Return
(65.03)
All Time Return
(65.03)
1
Is the ResMed share price too cheap at current levels
11/12/2025
2
Disposition of tradable shares by Luxor Capital Group, Lp of Five Point at 3.4 subject to Rule 16b-3
11/14/2025
3
Disposition of 682183 shares by Luxor Capital Group, Lp of Five Point at 3.1251 subject to Rule 16b-3
11/21/2025
4
Disposition of 48946 shares by Luxor Capital Group, Lp of Five Point at 3.1251 subject to Rule 16b-3
11/28/2025
5
Disposition of 18714 shares by Kim Tobler of Five Point at 6.01 subject to Rule 16b-3
12/04/2025
6
Insider Selling Five Point Insider Sells 112,471.14 in Stock
12/08/2025
7
Whale Trades Is Five Point Holdings LLC stock a contrarian buy - Global Markets Weekly High Return Opportunities - ulpravda.ru
01/08/2026
8
Acquisition by Michael Winer of 14869 shares of Five Point subject to Rule 16b-3
01/26/2026
9
Five Point Q4 Earnings Snapshot
01/29/2026
10
Five Point outlines 100M net income target for 2026 while expanding land entitlements and Hearthstone platform
01/30/2026
11
Disposition of 2513812 shares by Luxor Capital Group, Lp of Five Point at 3.1251 subject to Rule 16b-3
02/08/2026
Begin Period Cash Flow354.8 M
Total Cashflows From Investing Activities70.1 M

Five Point Relative Risk vs. Return Landscape

If you would invest  602.00  in Five Point Holdings on November 10, 2025 and sell it today you would lose (76.00) from holding Five Point Holdings or give up 12.62% of portfolio value over 90 days. Five Point Holdings is generating negative expected returns assuming volatility of 1.6808% on return distribution over 90 days investment horizon. In other words, 15% of stocks are less volatile than Five, and above 99% of all equities are expected to generate higher returns over the next 90 days.
  Expected Return   
       Risk  
Considering the 90-day investment horizon Five Point is expected to under-perform the market. In addition to that, the company is 2.07 times more volatile than its market benchmark. It trades about -0.12 of its total potential returns per unit of risk. The Dow Jones Industrial is currently generating roughly 0.12 per unit of volatility.

Five Point Target Price Odds to finish over Current Price

The tendency of Five Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above the current price in 90 days
 5.26 90 days 5.26 
under 95
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Five Point to move above the current price in 90 days from now is under 95 (This Five Point Holdings probability density function shows the probability of Five Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Considering the 90-day investment horizon Five Point has a beta of 0.74. This usually indicates as returns on the market go up, Five Point average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Five Point Holdings will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Five Point Holdings has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial.
   Five Point Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Five Point

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Five Point Holdings. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
3.545.226.90
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
4.737.008.68
Details
0 Analysts
Consensus
LowTargetHigh
10.9212.0013.32
Details

Five Point Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Five Point is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Five Point's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Five Point Holdings, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Five Point within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.22
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.74
σ
Overall volatility
0.32
Ir
Information ratio -0.14

Five Point Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Five Point for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Five Point Holdings can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Five Point Holdings generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Five Point Holdings has a strong financial position based on the latest SEC filings
About 60.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors
Latest headline from seekingalpha.com: Five Point outlines 100M net income target for 2026 while expanding land entitlements and Hearthstone platform

Five Point Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Five Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Five Point's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Five Point's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding149.3 M
Cash And Short Term Investments426.5 M

Five Point Fundamentals Growth

Five Stock prices reflect investors' perceptions of the future prospects and financial health of Five Point, and Five Point fundamentals are critical determinants of its market performance. Overall, investors pay close attention to revenue and earnings growth, profit margins, and debt levels. These fundamentals can have a significant impact on Five Stock performance.

About Five Point Performance

By evaluating Five Point's fundamental ratios, stakeholders can gain valuable insights into Five Point's financial health, operational efficiency, and overall profitability, helping them make informed investment and management decisions. For instance, if Five Point has a high ROA and ROE, it suggests that the company is efficiently using its assets and equity to generate substantial profits, making it an attractive investment. Conversely, if Five Point has a low ROA and ROE, it may indicate underlying issues in asset and equity management, signaling a need for operational improvements. Please also refer to our technical analysis and fundamental analysis pages.
Last ReportedProjected for Next Year
Days Of Inventory On Hand6.3 K8.8 K
Return On Tangible Assets 0.02  0.01 
Return On Assets 0.02  0.01 
Return On Equity 0.08  0.09 

Things to note about Five Point Holdings performance evaluation

Checking the ongoing alerts about Five Point for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Stock alerts and notifications screener for Five Point Holdings help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Five Point Holdings generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Five Point Holdings has a strong financial position based on the latest SEC filings
About 60.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors
Latest headline from seekingalpha.com: Five Point outlines 100M net income target for 2026 while expanding land entitlements and Hearthstone platform
Evaluating Five Point's performance can involve analyzing a variety of financial metrics and factors. Some of the key considerations to evaluate Five Point's stock performance include:
  • Analyzing Five Point's financial statements, including its income statement, balance sheet, and cash flow statement, helps in understanding its overall financial health and growth potential.
  • Getting a closer look at valuation ratios like price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio, price-to-sales (P/S) ratio, and price-to-book (P/B) ratio help in understanding whether Five Point's stock is overvalued or undervalued compared to its peers.
  • Examining Five Point's industry or sector and how it is performing can give you an idea of its growth potential and how it is positioned relative to its competitors.
  • Evaluating Five Point's management team can have a significant impact on its success or failure. Reviewing the track record and experience of Five Point's management team can help you assess the Company's leadership.
  • Pay attention to analyst opinions and ratings of Five Point's stock. These opinions can provide insight into Five Point's potential for growth and whether the stock is currently undervalued or overvalued.
It's essential to remember that evaluating Five Point's stock performance is not an exact science, and many factors can impact Five Point's stock market price. Therefore, it's also important to diversify your portfolio and not rely solely on one company or stock for your investments.

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When running Five Point's price analysis, check to measure Five Point's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Five Point is operating at the current time. Most of Five Point's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Five Point's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Five Point's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Five Point to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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